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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2025

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Deni Avdija has notched 13.9 points per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, identifying this as a strong matchup.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Jazz have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Trail Blazers.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Deni Avdija has failed to make 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road.
  • Deni Avdija has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
  • In terms of offense, the Trail Blazers's feeble 105.7 points per game as the visting team ranks 2nd-lowest in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Jazz is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).
  • Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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