Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Deni Avdija slots into the 79th percentile, tallying a whopping 14.5 points per game this year.
Deni Avdija has made 48.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% more than he's made overall this season when playing at home.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Trail Blazers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Deni Avdija slots into the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Trail Blazers have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

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