Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has compiled 13.9 points per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
The Trail Blazers are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Deni Avdija has attempted 8.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has missed 3.5 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Deni Avdija has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a tough matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

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