Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has converted 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this year away from home.
Deni Avdija has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Deni Avdija has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.5 higher than he's played overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).
The clash with Jimmy Butler measures in the 100th percentile with rival starting SFs burying a whopping 45.9% of their treys this year.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league this year (the Heat).
Deni Avdija will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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