Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has scored 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's scored over the course of the year.
Deni Avdija has made 49.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 12.5% more than he's made from downtown overall this year away from home.
Deni Avdija has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 103.0 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Pistons, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
Deni Avdija will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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