Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has totaled 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Deni Avdija has converted 49.3% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 12.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, creating a strong matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA when playing away from home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, struggling to draw fouls.
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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