Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has scored 16.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.
Deni Avdija has played 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league at home this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 14.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
With respect to scoring, the Trail Blazers's subpar 106.1 points per game rates 3rd-worst in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing teams have shot 46.8% on field goal attempts (23rd-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup.

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