Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-116).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Deni Avdija has made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 49.9% clip, Deni Avdija's field goal ability has regressed this season to 35.8%.
When it comes to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's subpar 105.6 points per game settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Houston Rockets have given up the 26th-most offensive boards per game (10.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 17 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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