Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Trail Blazers.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija has converted 2.3 foul shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.
Deni Avdija is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Deni Avdija lands in the 21st percentile for three-point efficiency on his home court with an unimpressive 13.3% rate this year.
In regard to offense, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 107.2 points per game comes in as the 6th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (9.7).
Over the last 12 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, struggling to get to the foul line.

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