Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 5:17 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has sunk 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.3 more than he's sunk overall this year on the road.
Deni Avdija has made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing on the road.
Deni Avdija has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Wizards check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics, making this a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are on their home court (4th-least in the NBA).
Deni Avdija is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this matchup.

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