Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has successfully made 8.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.6 more than he's made in all games this season away from his home court.
Deni Avdija has successfully made 1.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage.
Deni Avdija has averaged 36.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
With respect to offense, the Wizards's stellar 113.6 points per game comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

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