Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-167/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has posted 19.8 points per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 5.6 higher than he's posted overall this year on the road.
Deni Avdija has sunk 1.7 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Deni Avdija has averaged 35.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Raptors, struggling to get to the foul line.
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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