Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 11:10 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-148/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has sunk 6.6 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's made overall this year.
Deni Avdija has tallied 35.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should raise possessions for the Wizards.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have compiled 12.1 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, making this a tough matchup for offensive production.
The Wizards have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, struggling to draw fouls.

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