Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 10:02 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has put up 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Deni Avdija has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup against Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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