Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has scored 19.5 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 more than he's scored overall this season.
Deni Avdija has made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road.
Deni Avdija has tallied 35.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup.
The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards.
The Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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