Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

LA Clippers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 3:32 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has posted 21.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
Deni Avdija has sunk 53.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 13.0% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Deni Avdija has averaged 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.
The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a good one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 24th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have come down with 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 0.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the LA Clippers are at home (14th-least in the NBA).