Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Washington Wizards · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 3:27 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Deni Avdija has successfully made 51.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 11.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Deni Avdija has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Wizards have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home in regard to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Deni Avdija figures to see a decline in output for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.