Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has totaled 18.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year.
Deni Avdija has made 62.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 22.4% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Deni Avdija has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Wizards are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (14th-least in the NBA).