Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has converted 50.5% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.9% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has been called for 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.8 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Celtics).
The Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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