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Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Deni Avdija has made 39.2% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Washington Wizards.Deni Avdija has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 7.5 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, finding it easy to draw fouls.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Deni Avdija has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 0.9 three-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
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