Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs LA Clippers · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has made 57.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 13.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while at home.
The Washington Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Deni Avdija will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 43.3% on field goal attempts (11th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, making this a tough matchup.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Washington Wizards.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team has captured 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (retaining possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).

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