Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to shooting, the Washington Wizards's fantastic 49.4% field goal percentage at home comes in as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year.
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Deni Avdija will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Washington Wizards will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 8th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have collected 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).

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