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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Deni Avdija has successfully made 60.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's made overall this year playing at home.

The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

The Wizards check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Deni Avdija has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (21st-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deni Avdija has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup.

The Wizards are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).

The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

With respect to drawing fouls, the Washington Wizards's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home ranks worst in the league this year.

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