Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have shot 60.1% on three-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, branding this as a good matchup.
The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Wizards grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Wizards rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Hawks, struggling to draw fouls.
Deni Avdija figures to experience a decrease in performance across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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