Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 5.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Washington Wizards.
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
The matchup against Indiana is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are playing at home (27th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Indiana Pacers have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija should suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.