Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has sunk 48.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year while at home.
As it relates to scoring, the Washington Wizards's impressive 49.5% field goal percentage while playing at home places 5th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against New York is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Knicks are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (48.0%).
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should boost possessions for the Wizards.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has missed 5.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's missed over the course of the year at home.
The Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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