Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has successfully made 48.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
Deni Avdija has converted 83.7% of his free throws over the last 15 games on the road, 9.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing away from home.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Washington Wizards.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
At home, the Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).