Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Washington Wizards's exceptional 124.4 points per game at home rates 7th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have logged 18.9 points per game (28th-highest in the NBA) against the Magic, branding this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).
This year, their opposition has brought down 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Wizards rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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