Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Wizards have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (47.0%).
The speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (23rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
The Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have grabbed 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense).
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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