Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Washington Wizards · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Wizards rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while on the road.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Washington Wizards have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Deni Avdija ranks in the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Deni Avdija will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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