Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has successfully made 52.8% of his shot attempts from the field away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have averaged 33.1% on 3-pointers (3rd-lowest in the league) against the 76ers, making this a tough matchup.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a good one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 23rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league since the start of last season (1.9).
The speediest tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 0.0 clip, Deni Avdija's technical fouls have spiked this season to 0.2 per game.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While playing away from home, the 76ers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija has successfully made a lowly 72.0% of his foul shots this season, significantly less than his 72.8 mark last season.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the 76ers are the visiting squad (6th-least in the NBA).