Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Deni Avdija rates in the 80th percentile for shooting prowess at home with a a remarkable 52.2% rate this year.
In comparison to last season's 2.8 mark, Deni Avdija's personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 1.9.
As it relates to offense, the Wizards's terrific 119.1 points per game as the away team comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (20.0).
The fastest pace road team in the league this year has been the Wizards.

Favors Under

The Nets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets (saving possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Relative to last season's 72.8% rate, Deni Avdija's free-throw prowess has decreased this season to 72.5%.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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