Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 42.7% rate, Deni Avdija's shooting ability has jumped this year to 52.1%.
In comparison to last year's 29.1% mark, Deni Avdija's three-point proficiency has jumped this year to 42.0%.
In terms of offense, the Washington Wizards's fantastic 117.6 points per game rates 8th-most in the NBA this year.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The matchup against Detroit is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.8 free throws per game this year when the Detroit Pistons are away from home (27th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have shot 16.8% on 3-pointers (15th-weakest in the league) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA at home with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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