Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has converted a whopping 46.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly higher than his 29.1 mark last season.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 20.7 points per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, creating a positive matchup for offensive production.
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Wizards.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 2.7 mark, Deni Avdija's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 3.2.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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