Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 29.1% clip, Deni Avdija's three-point prowess has increased this season to 46.3%.
The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 37.0% on threes (26th-best in the league) vs. the Knicks, resulting in a positive matchup.
The quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 2.7 fouls per game last year.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Washington Wizards.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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