Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 3.3 rate, Deni Avdija's shots from the field sunk have jumped this year to 5.1 per game.
Deni Avdija has converted a terrific 43.1% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 29.1 rate last season.
The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 18.7 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.3 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can create further chances for offense).
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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