Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shooting, the Wizards's superb 48.7% field goal rate as the home team comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 1.9 three-pointers per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the 76ers, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league when playing away from home this year.
While on their home court, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Deni Avdija registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.7 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 6thworst in in the league at home with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted 25.8 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.