Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has successfully made 6.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Deni Avdija has tallied 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup against New York is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Knicks are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.1).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted a colossal 24.5 foul shots per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).
Deni Avdija will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.