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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2023

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Wizards check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.

The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Wizards.

While playing at home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Deni Avdija has converted 81.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

The matchup against the Magic may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a measly 22.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (10th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deni Avdija has made 35.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -6.1% less than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Deni Avdija has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (89th percentile).

This matchup is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Magic have the home court advantage, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (37.6).

The Washington Wizards have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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