Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has attempted 11.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Deni Avdija has successfully made 43.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 15.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year on his home court.
Deni Avdija has averaged 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
This matchup is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing squads have tallied the 7th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (41.6).
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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