Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/16/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Feb 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has scored 14.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.7 more than he's scored over the course of the year on the road.
Deni Avdija has converted 1.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
The Washington Wizards have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on the road.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Wizards.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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