Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged 15.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Deni Avdija has made 1.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Gordon Hayward is a good one for 3-pointers; when Hayward is on the road fellow starting SFs this year, they have totaled a massive 1.4 three-pointers per game (3rd percentile).
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Wizards.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Gordon Hayward is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 3.7 foul shots per game (79th percentile).