Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has sunk 4.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted overall this season.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Cavaliers are away from home, opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 22.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile).
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; when the Cavaliers are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 10th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.7).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).