Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has sunk 51.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.7% more than he's made overall this season while playing on the road.
Deni Avdija has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Rockets.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a favorable one for scoring; while playing at home, their opposition have compiled the 3rd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.3%).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Rockets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games playing at home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Rockets may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 26.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).
The Washington Wizards check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.