Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs New York Knicks · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has sunk 41.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 9.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 47.7% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, marking this as a positive matchup.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Deni Avdija figures to see a spike in output for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Deni Avdija measures in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.4 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 12.6 sunk threes per game measures as the 8th-lowest in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.

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