Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +154 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has successfully made 1.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage.
Deni Avdija has averaged 36.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court over the last 15 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Deni Avdija comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 4th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (26.8%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

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