Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 7:29 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has successfully made 48.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 9.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing at home.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Wizards will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Deni Avdija will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 7.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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