Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 29.1% clip, Deni Avdija's three-point prowess has increased this season to 46.3%.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on their home court this year as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 37.0% on threes (26th-best in the league) vs. the Knicks, resulting in a positive matchup.
The quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 2.7 fouls per game last year.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Washington Wizards.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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