Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-195/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 25th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.4).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (90th percentile).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 37.5% on three-pointers (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Heat).
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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