Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-205/+165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Wizards check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Wizards.
While playing at home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (89th percentile).
This matchup is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Magic have the home court advantage, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (37.6).
The Washington Wizards have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production across the board.

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